Each year I write my “futile forecasts” for the coming year. The idea behind “futile” is that most forecasting gets looked at the wrong way. It’s not about getting some number right at the end of the year It’s about navigating change. Register for access.Read More
Post Tagged with: "ETFs"
Summary Structural slow growth was met by a cyclical slowdown and then whacked by the biggest economic shock in modern history. There are more economic shoes to drop and a second wave of Coronavirus is the most dangerous risk. Helicopter money came early as it was necessary to fend off a collapse. I suspect the helicopter money will propel a high growth period in the early to middle 2020s. Stocks are overvalued and investors are over zealous, there is likely […]Read More
The price of producing solar and wind energy is now about equal to the price of gas and coal. This excludes all the clean-up and pollution costs of gas and coal. It is clear that the fossil fuel age has entered its end game.Read More
The Great Recession born of The Financial Crisis is lingering in many parts of America and the world. Investing will take perseverance and a forward looking approach. There will be more corrections, but we must try to use that volatility to our advantage. To that end, technology and eventually, clean energy, will be major secular trends to embrace.Read More
Beginning in 1999 and culminating in 2006, credit became very easy to attain. Credit had in fact been pretty easy by historical standards since the middle 1980s, but in 1999 became very easy, and eventually, easy to the point of being silly in 2005 and 2006. There is enough blame to go around as to why credit loosened up to the point of absurdity, but in general it was the politicians, banks, investment banks, shadow banks and the Federal Reserve who are mostly at fault.Read More